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3.4. Handling Data Imbalance and Outliers

First Principle: Effectively handling data imbalance and outliers fundamentally mitigates their detrimental impact on ML model performance, ensuring robust training and reliable predictions by preventing model bias towards majority classes or sensitivity to extreme values.

Data imbalance (where one class significantly outnumbers others in classification problems) and outliers (extreme data points) are common challenges that can lead to poor model performance, especially for the minority class in imbalanced datasets.

Key Concepts & Strategies:
  • Data Imbalance:
    • Problem: Models trained on imbalanced datasets tend to be biased towards the majority class, performing poorly on the minority class (e.g., fraud detection where fraud instances are rare).
    • Detection: Check class distribution (counts, percentages).
    • Strategies:
      • Sampling Techniques:
        • Undersampling: Reduce the number of samples from the majority class. Risk of losing valuable information.
        • Oversampling: Increase the number of samples from the minority class by duplicating existing samples. Risk of overfitting.
        • SMOTE (Synthetic Minority Over-sampling Technique): Creates synthetic samples of the minority class based on feature space similarities rather than just duplicating.
      • Algorithm-level Approaches:
        • Cost-Sensitive Learning: Assign higher misclassification costs to errors on the minority class during training.
        • Tree-based models: Often more robust to imbalance than linear models.
        • Ensemble Methods: Bagging (e.g., Random Forest), boosting (e.g., XGBoost).
      • Evaluation Metrics: Focus on metrics like Precision, Recall, F1-Score, ROC-AUC, or Confusion Matrix for the minority class, rather than just overall accuracy.
  • Outliers: (See 3.1.1)
    • Problem: Can skew data distributions, impact statistical measures, and lead to poor model fit.
    • Detection: Z-score, IQR, Box plots, Isolation Forest, One-Class SVM.
    • Treatment: Capping/Winsorization, transformation (log), binning, deletion.
AWS Tools:

Scenario: You are building a model to detect rare fraudulent transactions. Your dataset contains 99% legitimate transactions and only 1% fraudulent ones. Training a model directly on this data leads to very high accuracy but poor detection of actual fraud.

Reflection Question: How do strategies like SMOTE (for data imbalance) and capping (for outliers), coupled with focusing on appropriate evaluation metrics, fundamentally mitigate their detrimental impact on ML model performance and prevent model bias towards majority classes or sensitivity to extreme values?